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Our prediction: NOH 90 – POR 104

BuzzerBeater simulators examined the upcoming New Orleans - Portland game in the first of a series of BuzzerBeater predictions in conjunction with HoopsWorld.com.

Over 10,000 simulations, we find Portland's chances of winning top 90% playing at home on the day after Thanksgiving, with an average score of 104-90. You can find a sample game here: (http://www.buzzerbeater.com/BBWeb/reportmatch.aspx?MatchI...)

Expect big things from Brandon Roy. He topped 30 points in 41% of our simulations, greatly exceeding his 20.8 PPG so far this season. LaMarcus Aldridge (20) and Steve Blake (16, 6 assists) also top their season averages.

Bright spots for New Orleans include the play of Chris Paul, averaging 17 points and 10 assists, while Peja Stojakovic led a tightly bunched group of Hornets in scoring, leading the team in 45% of our simulations.

A big reason for the Portland win will be the inside defensive play of Oden and Aldridge, who will keep David West from breaking out in a big way, limiting him to an average of 17 points on just 6-17 shooting. Portland should also be dominant on the boards, where we expect the Blazers to have an average of 11 rebound advantage, including 6 on the offensive end, led by Aldridge with 14 and Oden with 13.

When it's not simulating NBA games, the BuzzerBeater simulator is the centerpiece of the world's largest online basketball manager game, where you can run your own team for free against over 39,000 other players. Our focus is on the quality of the basketball simulation and particularly an advanced, situationally aware computerized coach that makes in-game adjustments. So, we thought it was natural to also ask our simulator for some coaching adjustments that might help each team.

We also showed our computerized coaches how Byron Scott and Nate McMillan have handled their teams so far this season, and watched what adjustments were made during our simulated games. Our coaches believe that the Blazers should feature Travis Outlaw more heavily against New Orleans than he has been so far this season, while Byron Scott's best chance of winning his second game in as many nights relies on finding a hot hand from outside, perhaps Peja Stojakovic.


Last edited by BB-Mark at 11/28/2008 14:59:47

i would give NOH win over POR, because i think that in simulations homecourt advantage is too big :)

hey, can i see Chris Paul skills in BuzzerBeater form? :D

Edit:
can you pls do the Warriors@Knicks (nov.29) game simulation? :D

Last edited by kaprons at 11/28/2008 18:55:32

good post

congratulations

irrespective of the simulations, i am confident that portland will win. First, chris paul is good.. but he isnt a scorer..david west is the scorer, and portland has got a great interior defense that will make his life difficult. If NO wins, they will have to hit bombs from the outside, and a lot of them....

chris paul's defense is also overrated, i dont know who they have to stop brandon roy from going off... plus the rebounding advantage is going to be huge.. portland dominated the boards by 15 last game.

ug this isnt looking good

Well, that 8 point streak at the end of the quarter certainly helped... :-)
Things are looking good, I think.

well it was looking sketchy for awhile there.. but in the end the buzzerbeater prediction looks well... better than i could have hoped for.

final score portland 101 new orleans 86

Brandon Roy goes off for 25 (avg 30)
David West is indeed foiled and held to 10 points (avg 15 or so)
Portland had a small rebounding edge 6 boards (avg 10)
Peja was the high scorer for NO 21 (avg 20)

i'd say we hit all the big points in the dynamics of the game.

Last edited by BB-Forrest at 11/29/2008 00:23:19

OH yes, "mojo picón" and Rudy in BB!!!Amazing...
Very good pronostyc.

the prediction made is very close , the game ended 86-101 :D

well done guys

Last edited by Shoei at 11/29/2008 00:42:29