The logic is pretty simple: why lose two games, when you can win one for certain.
In my opinion you would easily win your home game against Puppies than an away game against me.
Sure, you win against me and so your choice was correct: but you win with my two player injuries (the two strongest) and with other two player fouled out. In normal situation I think that you loose the game.
At the end, you beat me and you loose by 50 points against my stronger opponent for the promotion: you are my enemy }:>