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Minutes and Form?! Not working!

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139045.4 in reply to 139045.3
Date: 4/3/2010 9:36:15 AM
Team Fusio
III.3
Overall Posts Rated:
2323
I agree cant judge by one player - I have a player [2809532] who played for 79 minutes last week and his GS is strong!

Lambaw

This Post:
00
139045.5 in reply to 139045.3
Date: 4/3/2010 10:04:52 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
203203
Actually his case is not the only one!
There is a thread on BB Global about this issue: (138857.1). Although I favor your position on making conclusions (a representative sample of a large group), this seems to be the one case that has the attribute: "if there is smoke, probably there is a fire" (this proverb is somewhat different in your cultures but the meaning is the same).

From: zyler

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139045.6 in reply to 139045.5
Date: 4/4/2010 7:06:18 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
217217
the problem here is your only giving us mins from one week , there is a growing theory that gs is shaped over a period of weeks which is always updating itself depending on how many mins you have been giving the player.
personally i go by the rule players must get between 96-150 mins a fortnight which always seems to keep my players gs rising to the max.

This Post:
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139045.7 in reply to 139045.5
Date: 4/4/2010 10:14:34 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
237237
You fail to consider that there is also a random factor involved. Even if you are within that range it doesn't guarantee your player will rise/drop in GS. It just means there is a higher probability your player will rise in GS in that range but in no way is guaranteed. If you look at the analysis provided in:

http://img69.imageshack.us/img69/3757/formstudy.jpg

You will notice that even some guys that are in the "optimal range" decreased in GS but not as much as those that actually rise in GS. There are random factors and you can not look at just a few players and your sample size is not big enough to try infer the population from it.

Last edited by Monkeybiz at 4/4/2010 10:15:05 PM