I am hoping Billy Hoyle is all smoke and mirrors. I beat him three weeks ago when he was decimated by injuries but I have him in the final of the PL tonight, the fact that he beat Bryce this week makes me think I don't have much chance especially as I have missed out on a couple of auctions recently and just one left before the game.
Syd is a very tricky and bold manager. I am surprised to always see him be able to pull out a couple of extra million to buy yet another superstar when he already has such an expensive roster. Still his roster now is MUCH weaker than the one he has last time, probably about 2/3 of the cost of that crazy ABBL standard $750,000 roster he won with last time.
Big 8
Glenelg Tigers is still in the box seat with HCA locked up and some brilliant players like Fan and the underrated Ton. Their 6th best player is $8,000 so another team with no depth, for now at least. I was told some weeks ago they were "certain" to promote. It is far from certain but they are the biggest issue for HA.
hopelessly addicted, the evil accountant, the Bryce Gibbs of division II. He certainly has upped his odds from 10% with the recent purchases. 140k C, 100k, PG, and eight real players in total, he has both the elite top and depth. He has certainly moved up into close to favourite status now.
No idea who will be 3rd or 4th but the current ones:
BroomeTime are behind in roster quality and game shape and can't beat Glenelg or HA without a massive spend and may not .
My old buddy peaceNroll has had a fantastic season peaking at the right time and has a great roster for the 3rd -7th race but wont scare the top two.
Great 8
It looks like Drunken All-Stars who I had rated very highly is packing it in and selling up with Slaughter and Gasic up for sale.
South Brisbane Vultures are still in it but only have four good players and need one more solid starter. If DAS does sell and not buy again then the winner of the SBV v NS first round will probably be going to the finals.
Nevada Saucers have a few really good players but also have no depth.
Mangoloids have been brilliantly managed but are no threat for the playoffs unless we see a massive splurge.
So my odds now (assuming DAS is selling and pulling the pin, not just reloading, I really don't know).
Glenelg Tigers 30%
hopelessly addicted 30%
South Brisbane Vultures 20%
Drunken All-Stars 5%
Nevada Saucers 5%
Anyone else 10%